Monthly
Index (no units)
1949 - 2025
Mar 1, 1949 to Nov 1, 2025
FRED
4 weeks ago
RecentDec 18, 2025
Sahm Recession Indicator signals the start of a recession when the three-month moving average of the national unemployment rate (U3) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE) rises by 0.50 percentage points or more relative to the minimum of the three-month averages from the previous 12 months.
As of November 1, 2025 • Monthly data • Source: FRED
This dataset contains 921 monthly observations, over 76 years, 8 months, updated monthly from FRED. View Methodology
Data Points
921
Coverage
76 years, 8 months
Updates
monthly