Monthly
Probability
1990 - 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Jan 1, 2026
FRED
3 weeks ago
RecentApr 30, 2026
This series measures the probability that the expected personal consumption expenditures price index (PCEPI) inflation rate (12-month percent changes) over the next 12 months will range between 0 and 1.5 percent. For additional information on the Price Pressures Measure and its construction, see Introducing the St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measure (https://research.stlouisfed.org/publications/economic-synopses/2015/11/06/introducing-the-st-louis-fed-price-pressures-measure/). As of April 5, 2023, the MZM Money Stock measure, in SA billions of dollars, has been replaced with the series Revolving Consumer Credit Outstanding (break-adjusted), in SA billions of dollars, from the Federal Reserve’s monthly G.19 release. This change was made because the MZM series was discontinued. As of February 3, 2020, the Emerging and Developing Asia and Western Hemisphere Consumer Prices Indexes have been replaced with Asia/Pacific Rim and Latin America Consumer Price Indexes respectively. These chan
As of January 1, 2026 • M data • Source: FRED
This dataset contains 433 monthly observations, over 36 years, 3 months, updated monthly from FRED, It the probability that the expected personal consumption expenditures price index (pcepi) inflation ra. View Methodology
Data Points
433
Coverage
36 years, 3 months
Updates
monthly
This dataset's metadata was updated on 5/7/2026. The current data may be outdated.