Monthly
%
2003 - 2026
Jan 1, 2003 to Feb 1, 2026
FRED
3 weeks ago
RecentMay 1, 2026
This series is a measure of expected inflation (on average) over the five-year period that begins five years from today. This series is constructed as: (((((1+((BC_10YEAR-TC_10YEAR)/100))^10)/((1+((BC_5YEAR-TC_5YEAR)/100))^5))^0.2)-1)*100 where BC10_YEAR, TC_10YEAR, BC_5YEAR, and TC_5YEAR are the 10 year and 5 year nominal and inflation adjusted Treasury securities. All of those are the actual series IDs in FRED. Starting with the update on June 21, 2019, the Treasury bond data used in calculating interest rate spreads is obtained directly from the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=yield).
As of February 1, 2026 • M data • Source: FRED
This dataset contains 278 monthly observations, over 23 years, 3 months, updated monthly from FRED, It of expected inflation (on average) over the five-year period that begins five years from today. View Methodology
Data Points
278
Coverage
23 years, 3 months
Updates
monthly
This dataset's metadata was updated on 5/7/2026. The current data may be outdated.