Industry Insights

2 articles in this category

Nowcasting GDP: How Economists Estimate Growth Before the Official Number Drops

GDP data arrives weeks late. Nowcasting models estimate growth in real time using high-frequency indicators. Here's how the framework works, which datasets drive the estimates, and how to build your own tracker.

Dec 812 min read

7 Economic Indicators That Actually Predict Recessions (Backtested Across 50 Years)

Most recession indicators sound convincing but fail real-world testing. These seven indicators actually predicted every U.S. recession since 1970 — with clear lead times and minimal false alarms. Learn the exact framework used by macro hedge funds and central banks.